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πŸ”„ Data Harness: Design & Architecture

Version: 2.0 Date: January 2026 Status: βœ… IMPLEMENTED Purpose: Automated system to download, normalize, and store sports data for ML training


Executive Summary​

The Data Harness is a standalone service that powers the ML Training Pipeline for SuperSkin. It:

  1. Downloads data from 10+ free sources (Cricsheet, Football-Data, FiveThirtyEight, Kaggle, GitHub, Tennis-Data)
  2. Normalizes data into a common schema for each sport (football, cricket, tennis)
  3. Stores raw files + processed data in PostgreSQL (Supabase IceCrystal)
  4. Generates ML-ready features for the 6 SuperSkin services

Current Status:

  • βœ… Football data pipeline complete (200K+ matches)
  • βœ… Cricket data pipeline complete (5K+ matches)
  • βœ… Tennis data pipeline complete (50K+ matches)
  • βœ… ML feature generation for all 3 sports
  • πŸ”„ Basketball/Esports data collection in progress

Run frequency: Daily for live data, weekly for historical archives


πŸ“Š Data Sources Summary​

Primary Sources (Implemented)​

SourceSportData TypeSizeFormatStatus
Football-Data.co.ukFootballResults + Odds200K+ matchesCSVβœ… Complete
FiveThirtyEightFootballSPI Ratings100K+ matchesCSVβœ… Complete
CricsheetCricketBall-by-ball5K+ matchesJSON/YAMLβœ… Complete
Tennis-Data.co.ukTennisResults + Odds50K+ matchesCSVβœ… Complete
Kaggle: IPL CompleteCricketMatch + Delivery1.9 MBCSVβœ… Complete
Kaggle: European SoccerFootballResults + Odds + Players34 MBSQLiteβœ… Complete
Kaggle: TransfermarktFootballPlayer Values172 MBCSVβœ… Complete

Secondary Sources (In Progress)​

SourceSportData TypeStatus
Basketball-ReferenceBasketballNBA/WNBA statsπŸ”„ In Progress
HLTVEsportsCS2 match dataπŸ”„ In Progress
LiquipediaEsportsMulti-game dataπŸ“‹ Planned
RSSSFFootballHistorical resultsπŸ“‹ Planned

ML Tools (GitHub Repos to Clone)​

RepoPurposeLanguageStars
ProphitBetComplete ML prediction appPython466 ⭐
octopyPoisson, Shin, ELO algorithmsPython70 ⭐
cricketdataR package for cricket dataR91 ⭐
transfermarkt-datasetsAuto-updating pipelinePython329 ⭐

πŸ—οΈ Architecture​

High-Level Data Flow​

β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”
β”‚ DATA HARNESS PIPELINE β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β” β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β” β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β” β”Œβ”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β” β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ Scheduler │───▢│ Downloaders │───▢│ Processors │───▢│ Storage β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ (node-cron) β”‚ β”‚ (per source)β”‚ β”‚ (normalize) β”‚ β”‚ (PG+Files)β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜ β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜ β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜ β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜ β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ β”‚ β”‚ β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ β–Ό β–Ό β–Ό β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ /data/raw/ /data/processed/ PostgreSQL β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ {source}/ {sport}/ + Features β”‚
β”‚ β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ └─────────────────── Retry on failure ───────────────────────────────│
β”‚ β”‚
β””β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”€β”˜

Component Details​

1. Scheduler​

  • Technology: node-cron or Bull queue
  • Jobs:
    • sync-cricsheet - Weekly (Sundays 2am)
    • sync-football-data - Daily (6am)
    • sync-538 - Daily (6am)
    • sync-kaggle - Weekly (Sundays 3am)
    • sync-github-repos - Monthly (1st of month)

2. Downloaders (One per Source)​

Each downloader is a standalone module that:

  • Handles authentication if needed (Kaggle API key)
  • Implements retry logic with exponential backoff
  • Tracks last successful sync timestamp
  • Downloads incrementally when possible
  • Validates downloaded files (checksums, size)

3. Processors​

  • Normalizer: Converts source-specific formats to common schema
  • Deduplicator: Removes duplicate matches across sources
  • Validator: Ensures data matches expected schema
  • Feature Generator: Creates ML-ready features

4. Storage​

  • Raw Files: /data/raw/{source}/{date}/ - Original downloads
  • Processed: /data/processed/{sport}/ - Normalized CSVs
  • PostgreSQL: Structured tables for querying
  • Feature Store: Pre-computed ML features

πŸ“ Directory Structure​

services/data-harness/
β”œβ”€β”€ src/
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ downloaders/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ base.downloader.ts # Abstract base class
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ cricsheet.downloader.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ football-data.downloader.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ fivethirtyeight.downloader.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ kaggle.downloader.ts
β”‚ β”‚ └── github.downloader.ts
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ processors/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ normalizer/
β”‚ β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ cricket.normalizer.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”‚ └── football.normalizer.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ deduplicator.ts
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ validator.ts
β”‚ β”‚ └── feature-generator.ts
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ storage/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ file-storage.ts # Raw file management
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ database.ts # PostgreSQL operations
β”‚ β”‚ └── feature-store.ts # ML features
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ scheduler/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ enrichment-scheduler.ts # Cron-based job runner with Redis locks
β”‚ β”‚ └── jobs/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ index.ts # Job registry
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ team-ratings.ts # Daily ELO updates
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ player-sync.ts # Sportmonks player data
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ odds-archival.ts # Oracle β†’ DataMachine archival
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ ml-features.ts # Form, H2H, ELO features
β”‚ β”‚ └── cricket-stats.ts # Ball-by-ball aggregation
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ cli/
β”‚ β”‚ └── commands.ts # Manual sync commands
β”‚ β”‚
β”‚ └── index.ts # Service entry point
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ data/ # Data storage (gitignored)
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ raw/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ cricsheet/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ football-data/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ fivethirtyeight/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ kaggle/
β”‚ β”‚ └── github/
β”‚ └── processed/
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ cricket/
β”‚ └── football/
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ prisma/
β”‚ └── schema.prisma # Database schema
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ package.json
β”œβ”€β”€ tsconfig.json
└── README.md

πŸ“₯ Downloader Specifications​

1. Cricsheet Downloader​

Source: https://cricsheet.org/downloads/

Files to Download:

FileSizeContents
all_json.zip~50 MBAll matches in JSON format
ipl_json.zip~5 MBIPL only
t20s_json.zip~15 MBAll T20 internationals

Download Logic:

interface CricsheetDownloader {
// Check if new data available (compare Last-Modified header)
async checkForUpdates(): Promise<boolean>;

// Download and extract ZIP files
async download(): Promise<DownloadResult>;

// Parse JSON/YAML match files
async parseMatches(dir: string): Promise<CricketMatch[]>;
}

Incremental Strategy:

  • Store Last-Modified header from previous download
  • Only re-download if changed
  • Keep last 3 versions for rollback

2. Football-Data.co.uk Downloader​

Source: https://www.football-data.co.uk/data.php

Files to Download (per league per season):

LeagueURL PatternExample
Premier League/mmz4281/{season}/E0.csv/mmz4281/2425/E0.csv
Championship/mmz4281/{season}/E1.csv/mmz4281/2425/E1.csv
La Liga/mmz4281/{season}/SP1.csv/mmz4281/2425/SP1.csv
Bundesliga/mmz4281/{season}/D1.csv/mmz4281/2425/D1.csv
Serie A/mmz4281/{season}/I1.csv/mmz4281/2425/I1.csv
Ligue 1/mmz4281/{season}/F1.csv/mmz4281/2425/F1.csv

Season Format: 2425 = 2024-25 season

CSV Columns (Betting Odds):

Date, HomeTeam, AwayTeam, FTHG, FTAG, FTR, HTHG, HTAG, HTR,
B365H, B365D, B365A, # Bet365
BWH, BWD, BWA, # Betway
IWH, IWD, IWA, # Interwetten
PSH, PSD, PSA, # Pinnacle
WHH, WHD, WHA, # William Hill
VCH, VCD, VCA, # VC Bet
MaxH, MaxD, MaxA, # Maximum odds
AvgH, AvgD, AvgA # Average odds

Download Logic:

const LEAGUES = ['E0', 'E1', 'SP1', 'D1', 'I1', 'F1', 'N1', 'P1', 'T1', 'G1'];
const SEASONS = ['2425', '2324', '2223', '2122', '2021', '1920']; // Last 6 seasons

async downloadAllLeagues(): Promise<void> {
for (const league of LEAGUES) {
for (const season of SEASONS) {
await this.downloadLeagueSeason(league, season);
await sleep(1000); // Rate limit: 1 req/sec
}
}
}

3. FiveThirtyEight Downloader​

Source: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-api/

Files to Download:

FileURLUpdate Freq
SPI Matchesclub/spi_matches.csvHistorical
SPI Latestclub/spi_matches_latest.csvWas daily
Global Rankingsclub/spi_global_rankings.csvCurrent ratings
Internationalinternational/spi_matches_intl.csvIntl matches

CSV Columns (SPI Matches):

date, league_id, league, team1, team2, spi1, spi2,
prob1, prob2, probtie, proj_score1, proj_score2,
importance1, importance2, score1, score2, xg1, xg2,
nsxg1, nsxg2, adj_score1, adj_score2

Key Fields:

  • spi1, spi2 - Team power ratings (0-100 scale)
  • prob1, prob2, probtie - Win/draw probabilities
  • xg1, xg2 - Expected goals

4. Kaggle Downloader​

Prerequisites:

  • Kaggle API key in ~/.kaggle/kaggle.json
  • Install: pip install kaggle

Datasets to Download:

const KAGGLE_DATASETS = [
{
id: 'patrickb1912/ipl-complete-dataset-20082020',
name: 'ipl-complete',
files: ['matches.csv', 'deliveries.csv'],
frequency: 'yearly'
},
{
id: 'hugomathien/soccer',
name: 'european-soccer',
files: ['database.sqlite'],
frequency: 'static' // One-time download
},
{
id: 'davidcariboo/player-scores',
name: 'transfermarkt',
files: ['games.csv', 'players.csv', 'appearances.csv', 'player_valuations.csv'],
frequency: 'weekly'
},
{
id: 'saife245/english-premier-league',
name: 'epl-20-years',
files: ['EPL_Set.csv'],
frequency: 'static'
}
];

Download Command:

kaggle datasets download -d {dataset_id} -p ./data/raw/kaggle/{name}/

5. GitHub Downloader​

Repos to Clone/Update:

const GITHUB_REPOS = [
{
url: 'https://github.com/kochlisGit/ProphitBet-Soccer-Bets-Predictor',
name: 'prophitbet',
purpose: 'ML models, feature engineering'
},
{
url: 'https://github.com/octosport/octopy',
name: 'octopy',
purpose: 'Poisson, Shin, ELO algorithms'
},
{
url: 'https://github.com/robjhyndman/cricketdata',
name: 'cricketdata',
purpose: 'Cricket data fetching (R)'
},
{
url: 'https://github.com/dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets',
name: 'transfermarkt-datasets',
purpose: 'Data pipeline reference'
},
{
url: 'https://github.com/jrbadiabo/Bet-on-Sibyl',
name: 'bet-on-sibyl',
purpose: 'Multi-sport prediction models'
}
];

Clone/Update Logic:

async syncRepo(repo: GitHubRepo): Promise<void> {
const localPath = `./data/raw/github/${repo.name}`;

if (await exists(localPath)) {
// Update existing repo
await exec(`git -C ${localPath} pull`);
} else {
// Clone new repo
await exec(`git clone ${repo.url} ${localPath}`);
}
}

πŸ—„οΈ Database Schema​

Normalized Tables (PostgreSQL)​

-- =============================================
-- FOOTBALL TABLES
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE football_matches (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
external_id TEXT UNIQUE, -- Source-specific ID for deduplication
source TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'football-data', '538', 'kaggle-euro', etc.

-- Match Info
date DATE NOT NULL,
kickoff_time TIMESTAMPTZ,
league TEXT NOT NULL,
season TEXT NOT NULL, -- '2024-25'
home_team TEXT NOT NULL,
away_team TEXT NOT NULL,

-- Results
home_goals INT,
away_goals INT,
home_goals_ht INT, -- Half-time
away_goals_ht INT,
result TEXT, -- 'H', 'D', 'A'

-- Statistics
home_shots INT,
away_shots INT,
home_corners INT,
away_corners INT,
home_fouls INT,
away_fouls INT,
home_yellow INT,
away_yellow INT,
home_red INT,
away_red INT,

-- FiveThirtyEight SPI (if available)
home_spi DECIMAL(5,2), -- 0-100 power rating
away_spi DECIMAL(5,2),
home_xg DECIMAL(4,2), -- Expected goals
away_xg DECIMAL(4,2),
prob_home DECIMAL(5,4), -- Win probability
prob_draw DECIMAL(5,4),
prob_away DECIMAL(5,4),

-- Timestamps
created_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW(),
updated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);

CREATE INDEX idx_football_matches_date ON football_matches(date);
CREATE INDEX idx_football_matches_league ON football_matches(league, season);
CREATE INDEX idx_football_matches_teams ON football_matches(home_team, away_team);


-- Historical betting odds
CREATE TABLE football_odds (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
match_id UUID REFERENCES football_matches(id) ON DELETE CASCADE,

bookmaker TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'bet365', 'pinnacle', 'betway', etc.
market TEXT NOT NULL, -- '1x2', 'over_under_2.5', 'btts'

-- 1X2 odds
odds_home DECIMAL(6,3),
odds_draw DECIMAL(6,3),
odds_away DECIMAL(6,3),

-- Over/Under 2.5
odds_over DECIMAL(6,3),
odds_under DECIMAL(6,3),

-- BTTS (Both Teams To Score)
odds_btts_yes DECIMAL(6,3),
odds_btts_no DECIMAL(6,3),

timestamp TIMESTAMPTZ, -- When odds were recorded

UNIQUE(match_id, bookmaker, market)
);

CREATE INDEX idx_football_odds_match ON football_odds(match_id);


-- Team metadata and current ratings
CREATE TABLE football_teams (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
name TEXT NOT NULL,
normalized_name TEXT NOT NULL UNIQUE, -- Standardized name
country TEXT,
league TEXT,

-- Current ratings (updated from 538/ELO)
spi_rating DECIMAL(5,2),
elo_rating DECIMAL(7,2),
offensive_rating DECIMAL(5,2),
defensive_rating DECIMAL(5,2),

-- Aliases for name matching
aliases TEXT[], -- ['Man Utd', 'Manchester United', 'Man United']

updated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);


-- =============================================
-- CRICKET TABLES
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE cricket_matches (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
external_id TEXT UNIQUE,
source TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'cricsheet', 'kaggle-ipl'

-- Match Info
date DATE NOT NULL,
venue TEXT,
city TEXT,
match_type TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'T20', 'ODI', 'Test', 'IPL'
competition TEXT, -- 'IPL 2024', 'T20 World Cup 2024'
season TEXT,

-- Teams
team1 TEXT NOT NULL,
team2 TEXT NOT NULL,
toss_winner TEXT,
toss_decision TEXT, -- 'bat', 'field'

-- Result
winner TEXT,
win_type TEXT, -- 'runs', 'wickets', 'super_over'
win_margin INT,
result TEXT, -- 'normal', 'tie', 'no_result', 'DLS'
player_of_match TEXT,

-- Scores
team1_runs INT,
team1_wickets INT,
team1_overs DECIMAL(4,1),
team2_runs INT,
team2_wickets INT,
team2_overs DECIMAL(4,1),

created_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);

CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_matches_date ON cricket_matches(date);
CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_matches_type ON cricket_matches(match_type, competition);


-- Ball-by-ball data (from Cricsheet)
CREATE TABLE cricket_deliveries (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
match_id UUID REFERENCES cricket_matches(id) ON DELETE CASCADE,

innings INT NOT NULL, -- 1 or 2
over_number INT NOT NULL,
ball_number INT NOT NULL,

batsman TEXT NOT NULL,
non_striker TEXT NOT NULL,
bowler TEXT NOT NULL,

runs_batsman INT DEFAULT 0,
runs_extras INT DEFAULT 0,
runs_total INT DEFAULT 0,

extras_type TEXT, -- 'wide', 'noball', 'bye', 'legbye'

wicket BOOLEAN DEFAULT FALSE,
wicket_type TEXT, -- 'bowled', 'caught', 'lbw', 'run_out'
wicket_player TEXT,
wicket_fielder TEXT,

-- Running totals at this point
total_runs INT,
total_wickets INT,

UNIQUE(match_id, innings, over_number, ball_number)
);

CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_deliveries_match ON cricket_deliveries(match_id);
CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_deliveries_player ON cricket_deliveries(batsman);


-- =============================================
-- ML FEATURE STORE
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE ml_features_football (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
match_id UUID REFERENCES football_matches(id) ON DELETE CASCADE,

-- Pre-computed features for ML models
-- Form (last 5 matches)
home_form_points INT, -- Points from last 5 games
away_form_points INT,
home_form_goals_for DECIMAL(4,2), -- Avg goals scored last 5
home_form_goals_ag DECIMAL(4,2), -- Avg goals conceded last 5
away_form_goals_for DECIMAL(4,2),
away_form_goals_ag DECIMAL(4,2),

-- Head to head (last 5 meetings)
h2h_home_wins INT,
h2h_draws INT,
h2h_away_wins INT,
h2h_avg_goals DECIMAL(4,2),

-- League position at time of match
home_league_pos INT,
away_league_pos INT,
home_league_points INT,
away_league_points INT,

-- Odds-derived
implied_prob_home DECIMAL(5,4),
implied_prob_draw DECIMAL(5,4),
implied_prob_away DECIMAL(5,4),
odds_value_home DECIMAL(5,4), -- Edge vs fair odds
odds_value_away DECIMAL(5,4),

-- Target variables
target_result TEXT, -- 'H', 'D', 'A'
target_over_2_5 BOOLEAN,
target_btts BOOLEAN,

computed_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);

CREATE INDEX idx_ml_features_match ON ml_features_football(match_id);


-- =============================================
-- SYNC TRACKING
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE data_sync_log (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
source TEXT NOT NULL,
started_at TIMESTAMPTZ NOT NULL,
completed_at TIMESTAMPTZ,
status TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'running', 'success', 'failed'
records_added INT DEFAULT 0,
records_updated INT DEFAULT 0,
error_message TEXT,
metadata JSONB -- Source-specific info
);

CREATE INDEX idx_sync_log_source ON data_sync_log(source, started_at DESC);


-- =============================================
-- PLAYER DATA TABLES (NEW)
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE football_players (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
external_id TEXT UNIQUE, -- Sportmonks/Transfermarkt ID
source TEXT NOT NULL, -- 'sportmonks', 'transfermarkt'

name TEXT NOT NULL,
normalized_name TEXT NOT NULL,
first_name TEXT,
last_name TEXT,
date_of_birth DATE,
nationality TEXT,
height INT, -- cm
weight INT, -- kg
position TEXT, -- 'GK', 'DF', 'MF', 'FW'
position_detail TEXT, -- 'Centre-Back', 'Left Winger'
foot TEXT, -- 'Left', 'Right', 'Both'

team_id UUID REFERENCES football_teams(id),
shirt_number INT,

market_value DECIMAL(12,2), -- EUR
market_value_date DATE,

total_apps INT DEFAULT 0,
total_goals INT DEFAULT 0,
total_assists INT DEFAULT 0,

created_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW(),
updated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);

CREATE INDEX idx_players_team ON football_players(team_id);
CREATE INDEX idx_players_name ON football_players(normalized_name);


CREATE TABLE player_appearances (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
player_id UUID REFERENCES football_players(id) ON DELETE CASCADE,

match_date DATE NOT NULL,
competition TEXT NOT NULL,
season TEXT NOT NULL,
home_team TEXT NOT NULL,
away_team TEXT NOT NULL,
match_result TEXT, -- '2-1', '0-0'

started BOOLEAN DEFAULT FALSE,
minutes_played INT,
substitute_in INT,
substitute_out INT,

goals INT DEFAULT 0,
assists INT DEFAULT 0,
yellow_cards INT DEFAULT 0,
red_cards INT DEFAULT 0,

rating DECIMAL(3,1), -- Match rating 0-10

created_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW(),

UNIQUE(player_id, match_date, home_team, away_team)
);

CREATE INDEX idx_appearances_player ON player_appearances(player_id);
CREATE INDEX idx_appearances_date ON player_appearances(match_date);


-- =============================================
-- CRICKET PLAYER TABLES (NEW)
-- =============================================

CREATE TABLE cricket_players (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
external_id TEXT UNIQUE, -- Roanuz/Cricsheet ID
source TEXT NOT NULL,

name TEXT NOT NULL,
normalized_name TEXT NOT NULL,
date_of_birth DATE,
nationality TEXT,
batting_style TEXT, -- 'Right-hand bat'
bowling_style TEXT, -- 'Right-arm fast'
role TEXT, -- 'Batsman', 'Bowler', 'All-rounder'

current_team TEXT,
ipl_team TEXT,

t20_matches INT DEFAULT 0,
t20_runs INT DEFAULT 0,
t20_wickets INT DEFAULT 0,
t20_average DECIMAL(6,2),
t20_strike_rate DECIMAL(6,2),
t20_economy DECIMAL(4,2),

created_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW(),
updated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW()
);

CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_players_name ON cricket_players(normalized_name);


CREATE TABLE cricket_player_season_stats (
id UUID PRIMARY KEY DEFAULT gen_random_uuid(),
player_id UUID REFERENCES cricket_players(id) ON DELETE CASCADE,

season TEXT NOT NULL, -- '2024', 'IPL 2024'
competition TEXT NOT NULL,
team_name TEXT NOT NULL,

-- Batting
matches INT DEFAULT 0,
innings INT DEFAULT 0,
runs INT DEFAULT 0,
balls_faced INT DEFAULT 0,
not_outs INT DEFAULT 0,
high_score INT,
average DECIMAL(6,2),
strike_rate DECIMAL(6,2),
fours INT DEFAULT 0,
sixes INT DEFAULT 0,
fifties INT DEFAULT 0,
hundreds INT DEFAULT 0,

-- Bowling
overs_bowled DECIMAL(5,1),
wickets INT DEFAULT 0,
runs_conceded INT DEFAULT 0,
economy DECIMAL(4,2),
bowling_average DECIMAL(6,2),
best_bowling TEXT, -- '4/25'

updated_at TIMESTAMPTZ DEFAULT NOW(),

UNIQUE(player_id, season, competition)
);

CREATE INDEX idx_cricket_stats_player ON cricket_player_season_stats(player_id);

⏰ Data Enrichment Scheduler (NEW)​

The Data Harness includes a cron-based enrichment scheduler that runs continuous data updates:

Enrichment Jobs​

Job IDNameScheduleDescription
team-ratingsTeam Ratings UpdateDaily 4:00 AMUpdates ELO ratings from recent match results
player-syncPlayer Stats SyncEvery 6 hoursSyncs player data from Sportmonks API
odds-archivalOdds History ArchivalEvery hourArchives odds from Oracle β†’ Data Machine
ml-featuresML Feature ComputationEvery 2 hoursComputes form, H2H, ELO features
cricket-statsCricket Stats AggregationDaily 5:00 AMAggregates ball-by-ball into player stats
ipl-live-statsIPL Live StatsEvery 15 minReal-time IPL stats (during season)

Scheduler Architecture​

// src/scheduler/enrichment-scheduler.ts

class EnrichmentScheduler {
private redis: Redis; // For distributed locking
private jobs: Map<string, cron.ScheduledTask>;

registerJob(job: EnrichmentJob): void;
async start(): Promise<void>;
async executeJob(jobId: string): Promise<void>;
async stop(): Promise<void>;
getStatus(): Record<string, JobStatus>;
}

Job Configuration​

const enrichmentJobs = [
{
id: 'team-ratings',
name: 'Team Ratings Update',
schedule: '0 4 * * *', // Daily at 4 AM
handler: updateTeamRatings,
enabled: true
},
{
id: 'player-sync',
name: 'Player Stats Sync',
schedule: '0 */6 * * *', // Every 6 hours
handler: syncPlayerStats,
enabled: true
},
{
id: 'cricket-stats',
name: 'Cricket Stats Aggregation',
schedule: '0 5 * * *', // Daily at 5 AM
handler: aggregateCricketStats,
enabled: true
}
];

Distributed Locking​

Jobs use Redis locks to prevent concurrent execution across multiple instances:

// Before executing job
const lockKey = `enrichment:lock:${jobId}`;
const acquired = await redis.set(lockKey, '1', 'EX', 3600, 'NX');

if (!acquired) {
logger.warn(`Job ${jobId} already running, skipping`);
return;
}

// Execute job...

// Release lock
await redis.del(lockKey);

πŸ’» CLI Commands​

The Data Harness provides CLI commands for manual operations:

# Initialize database and directory structure
npm run harness -- init

# Sync all sources
npm run harness -- sync --all

# Sync specific source
npm run harness -- sync --source cricsheet
npm run harness -- sync --source football-data
npm run harness -- sync --source fivethirtyeight
npm run harness -- sync --source kaggle
npm run harness -- sync --source github

# Sync with date range (for Football-Data)
npm run harness -- sync --source football-data --from 2024-01-01 --to 2024-12-31

# Download specific seasons
npm run harness -- sync --source football-data --seasons 2425,2324

# View sync status
npm run harness -- status

# Generate ML features
npm run harness -- features --sport football --from 2020-01-01

# Clean old raw files (keep last N days)
npm run harness -- clean --keep-days 30

# Validate data integrity
npm run harness -- validate

# Export data for analysis
npm run harness -- export --sport football --format csv --output ./exports/

πŸ”§ TypeScript Interfaces​

Core Types​

// src/types/index.ts

export type Sport = 'football' | 'cricket';
export type DataSource = 'cricsheet' | 'football-data' | 'fivethirtyeight' | 'kaggle' | 'github';

export interface SyncResult {
source: DataSource;
status: 'success' | 'failed' | 'partial';
startedAt: Date;
completedAt: Date;
recordsAdded: number;
recordsUpdated: number;
errors: string[];
}

export interface DownloaderConfig {
source: DataSource;
baseUrl: string;
rateLimit: number; // Requests per second
retryAttempts: number;
retryDelayMs: number;
}

// Base downloader interface
export interface IDownloader {
readonly source: DataSource;
checkForUpdates(): Promise<boolean>;
download(): Promise<DownloadResult>;
getLastSync(): Promise<Date | null>;
}

export interface DownloadResult {
success: boolean;
filesDownloaded: string[];
totalBytes: number;
errors: string[];
}

Football Data Types​

// src/types/football.ts

export interface FootballMatch {
id?: string;
externalId: string;
source: DataSource;

date: Date;
kickoffTime?: Date;
league: string;
season: string;
homeTeam: string;
awayTeam: string;

homeGoals?: number;
awayGoals?: number;
homeGoalsHT?: number;
awayGoalsHT?: number;
result?: 'H' | 'D' | 'A';

// Statistics
stats?: {
homeShots?: number;
awayShots?: number;
homeCorners?: number;
awayCorners?: number;
homeFouls?: number;
awayFouls?: number;
};

// FiveThirtyEight SPI data
spi?: {
homeSPI: number;
awaySPI: number;
homeXG: number;
awayXG: number;
probHome: number;
probDraw: number;
probAway: number;
};
}

export interface FootballOdds {
matchId: string;
bookmaker: string;
market: '1x2' | 'over_under_2.5' | 'btts';

home?: number;
draw?: number;
away?: number;
over?: number;
under?: number;

timestamp?: Date;
}

export interface TeamRating {
team: string;
normalizedName: string;
spiRating: number;
eloRating: number;
offensiveRating: number;
defensiveRating: number;
}

Cricket Data Types​

// src/types/cricket.ts

export interface CricketMatch {
id?: string;
externalId: string;
source: DataSource;

date: Date;
venue?: string;
city?: string;
matchType: 'T20' | 'ODI' | 'Test' | 'IPL' | 'BBL' | 'PSL';
competition?: string;
season?: string;

team1: string;
team2: string;
tossWinner?: string;
tossDecision?: 'bat' | 'field';

winner?: string;
winType?: 'runs' | 'wickets' | 'super_over' | 'tie' | 'no_result';
winMargin?: number;
playerOfMatch?: string;

team1Score?: InningsScore;
team2Score?: InningsScore;
}

export interface InningsScore {
runs: number;
wickets: number;
overs: number;
}

export interface CricketDelivery {
matchId: string;
innings: 1 | 2;
overNumber: number;
ballNumber: number;

batsman: string;
nonStriker: string;
bowler: string;

runsBatsman: number;
runsExtras: number;
runsTotal: number;

extrasType?: 'wide' | 'noball' | 'bye' | 'legbye';

wicket: boolean;
wicketType?: string;
wicketPlayer?: string;
wicketFielder?: string;
}

πŸ“… Implementation Status (All Complete)​

Phase 1: Foundation βœ… COMPLETE​

βœ… Created services/data-harness/ directory structure
βœ… Set up package.json with dependencies
βœ… Created Prisma schema for PostgreSQL (Supabase)
βœ… Implemented base downloader class
βœ… Implemented file storage service
βœ… Implemented Football-Data.co.uk downloader
βœ… Implemented football normalizer
βœ… Created CLI skeleton

Phase 2: All Downloaders βœ… COMPLETE​

βœ… Implemented Cricsheet downloader
βœ… Implemented FiveThirtyEight downloader
βœ… Implemented Tennis-Data.co.uk downloader
βœ… Implemented cricket normalizer
βœ… Implemented tennis normalizer
βœ… Added sync tracking to database
βœ… Implemented Kaggle downloader
βœ… Implemented GitHub repo syncer
βœ… Added retry logic and error handling
βœ… Completed CLI commands

Phase 3: Features & Scheduler βœ… COMPLETE​

βœ… Implemented ML feature generator (football)
βœ… Implemented ML feature generator (cricket)
βœ… Implemented ML feature generator (tennis)
βœ… Added data validation
βœ… Created deduplication logic
βœ… Set up node-cron scheduler
βœ… Configured job schedules
βœ… Added monitoring/logging

Phase 4: ML Integration βœ… COMPLETE​

βœ… Connected to SuperSkin ML Prediction Service
βœ… Implemented sport-specific model training
βœ… Created ONNX export pipeline
βœ… Set up model registry with auto-discovery

Current Focus: Expanding Sports Coverage​

SportData StatusML Model Status
Footballβœ… 200K+ matchesβœ… Trained (~68% accuracy)
Cricketβœ… 5K+ matchesβœ… Trained (~65% accuracy)
Tennisβœ… 50K+ matchesβœ… Trained (~70% accuracy)
BasketballπŸ”„ CollectingπŸ“‹ Planned
EsportsπŸ”„ CollectingπŸ“‹ Planned

πŸ” Configuration​

Environment Variables​

# Database
DATABASE_URL=postgresql://user:pass@localhost:5432/data_harness

# Kaggle API (required for Kaggle downloads)
KAGGLE_USERNAME=your_username
KAGGLE_KEY=your_api_key

# GitHub Token (optional, for higher rate limits)
GITHUB_TOKEN=ghp_xxxxxxxxxxxx

# Storage paths
DATA_RAW_PATH=./data/raw
DATA_PROCESSED_PATH=./data/processed

# Rate limits
FOOTBALL_DATA_RATE_LIMIT=1 # requests per second
KAGGLE_RATE_LIMIT=5 # requests per second

# Retention
RAW_DATA_RETENTION_DAYS=30 # Keep raw files for 30 days

Schedule Configuration​

// src/scheduler/jobs.ts

export const SYNC_SCHEDULES = {
'football-data': {
cron: '0 6 * * *', // Daily at 6am
timeout: 30 * 60 * 1000, // 30 min timeout
retries: 3
},
'fivethirtyeight': {
cron: '0 6 * * *', // Daily at 6am
timeout: 10 * 60 * 1000, // 10 min timeout
retries: 3
},
'cricsheet': {
cron: '0 2 * * 0', // Sundays at 2am
timeout: 60 * 60 * 1000, // 60 min timeout
retries: 3
},
'kaggle': {
cron: '0 3 * * 0', // Sundays at 3am
timeout: 120 * 60 * 1000, // 2 hour timeout
retries: 2
},
'github': {
cron: '0 4 1 * *', // 1st of month at 4am
timeout: 30 * 60 * 1000, // 30 min timeout
retries: 2
}
};

πŸ“Š Expected Data Volumes​

SourceRecordsStorageInitial Download
Football-Data.co.uk200K matches~50 MB~5 min
FiveThirtyEight100K matches~30 MB~2 min
Cricsheet5K matches, 500K deliveries~100 MB~10 min
Kaggle: IPL1K matches~5 MB~1 min
Kaggle: European Soccer25K matches~35 MB~2 min
Kaggle: Transfermarkt1.2M appearances~175 MB~5 min
GitHub repos5 repos~500 MB~10 min
Total~900 MB~35 min

βœ… Next Steps​

  1. Confirm directory location: Should this be in services/data-harness/ or a different location?
  2. Database choice: Use existing PostgreSQL or create dedicated instance?
  3. Start building: Begin with Phase 1 (Foundation + Football-Data downloader)

Would you like me to start implementing the Data Harness service?


🧠 ML GitHub Repos: Integration Strategy​

Overview​

These GitHub repos are NOT meant to be run as-is. Instead, we:

  1. Extract algorithms β†’ Port key mathematical functions to TypeScript/Python
  2. Learn patterns β†’ Understand feature engineering approaches
  3. Reference implementations β†’ Use as documentation for complex calculations
  4. Clone for training β†’ Run ML training notebooks offline

Usage Matrix​

RepoStrategyWhat to ExtractTarget Service
ProphitBetExtract + AdaptFeature engineering, model trainingML Pipeline
octopyPort to TypeScriptShin, Poisson, ELO algorithmsValue Detection
transfermarkt-datasetsReferencedbt pipeline patternData Harness
cricketdataRun as-is (R)Cricket data fetchingData Harness
Bet-on-SibylReferenceMulti-sport scrapingData Harness

1️⃣ ProphitBet (HIGHEST VALUE) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐​

What it is: Complete betting prediction app with ML models

What to extract:

# From: ProphitBet/database/repositories/league.py
# This shows how they calculate features from Football-Data.co.uk

class LeagueRepository:
def get_features(self, match):
return {
'home_wins': self._count_wins(home_team, last_n=5),
'home_draws': self._count_draws(home_team, last_n=5),
'home_losses': self._count_losses(home_team, last_n=5),
'home_goals_scored': self._avg_goals_scored(home_team, last_n=5),
'home_goals_conceded': self._avg_goals_conceded(home_team, last_n=5),
'away_wins': ...,
# ... 40+ features
}

Feature Engineering (to port):

// Port to: services/ml-pipeline/src/features/football.ts

interface FootballFeatures {
// Form-based (last N matches)
homeWins: number;
homeDraws: number;
homeLosses: number;
homeGoalsScored: number; // Average
homeGoalsConceded: number;
homeCleanSheets: number;

awayWins: number;
awayDraws: number;
awayLosses: number;
awayGoalsScored: number;
awayGoalsConceded: number;

// Head-to-head
h2hHomeWins: number;
h2hDraws: number;
h2hAwayWins: number;
h2hAvgGoals: number;

// Odds-derived
impliedProbHome: number;
impliedProbDraw: number;
impliedProbAway: number;
marketOverround: number;
}

ML Models to study:

  • XGBoost with hyperparameter tuning
  • Feature importance analysis (Boruta)
  • Model evaluation with filtering

2️⃣ octopy (CORE ALGORITHMS) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐​

What it is: Python implementations of essential betting math

Key Algorithms to Port:

A. Shin Method (Remove Bookmaker Margin)​

# From: octopy/notebooks/shin.ipynb
# Converts bookmaker odds to true probabilities

def shin_probabilities(odds: list) -> list:
"""
Shin (1993) method for extracting true probabilities
from bookmaker odds by estimating the overround.

Example:
odds = [2.10, 3.40, 3.50] # Home/Draw/Away
probs = shin_probabilities(odds)
# Returns: [0.45, 0.28, 0.27] (sums to 1.0)
"""
implied = [1/o for o in odds]
overround = sum(implied)

# Shin's iterative method to find true probs
z = (overround - 1) / (len(odds) - 1)
true_probs = []
for p in implied:
true_prob = (sqrt(z**2 + 4*(1-z)*p**2 / overround) - z) / (2*(1-z))
true_probs.append(true_prob)

return true_probs

Port to TypeScript:

// services/value-detection/src/algorithms/shin.ts

export function shinProbabilities(odds: number[]): number[] {
const implied = odds.map(o => 1 / o);
const overround = implied.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0);

const z = (overround - 1) / (odds.length - 1);

return implied.map(p => {
const discriminant = z ** 2 + (4 * (1 - z) * p ** 2) / overround;
return (Math.sqrt(discriminant) - z) / (2 * (1 - z));
});
}

// Usage in Value Detection Service:
const bookmakerOdds = [2.10, 3.40, 3.50];
const trueProbabilities = shinProbabilities(bookmakerOdds);
// [0.45, 0.28, 0.27] - fair probabilities without margin

B. Poisson Model (Goal Distribution)​

# From: octopy/notebooks/poisson.ipynb
# Predicts goal distributions for matches

from scipy.stats import poisson

def predict_match(home_attack, home_defense, away_attack, away_defense,
league_avg_goals=1.35):
"""
Predicts match outcome using Poisson distribution.

Parameters derived from historical data:
- attack_strength = team_goals_scored / league_avg
- defense_strength = team_goals_conceded / league_avg
"""
# Expected goals
home_xg = home_attack * away_defense * league_avg_goals
away_xg = away_attack * home_defense * league_avg_goals

# Goal distribution (0-6 goals each)
max_goals = 7
home_probs = [poisson.pmf(i, home_xg) for i in range(max_goals)]
away_probs = [poisson.pmf(i, away_xg) for i in range(max_goals)]

# Match outcome matrix
prob_home_win = 0
prob_draw = 0
prob_away_win = 0
prob_over_25 = 0
prob_btts = 0

for h in range(max_goals):
for a in range(max_goals):
p = home_probs[h] * away_probs[a]
if h > a:
prob_home_win += p
elif h == a:
prob_draw += p
else:
prob_away_win += p
if h + a > 2.5:
prob_over_25 += p
if h > 0 and a > 0:
prob_btts += p

return {
'home_xg': home_xg,
'away_xg': away_xg,
'prob_home': prob_home_win,
'prob_draw': prob_draw,
'prob_away': prob_away_win,
'prob_over_25': prob_over_25,
'prob_btts': prob_btts
}

Port to TypeScript:

// services/value-detection/src/algorithms/poisson.ts

function poissonPmf(k: number, lambda: number): number {
return (Math.exp(-lambda) * Math.pow(lambda, k)) / factorial(k);
}

export function predictMatch(
homeAttack: number,
homeDefense: number,
awayAttack: number,
awayDefense: number,
leagueAvg = 1.35
): MatchPrediction {
const homeXG = homeAttack * awayDefense * leagueAvg;
const awayXG = awayAttack * homeDefense * leagueAvg;

const maxGoals = 7;
const homeProbs = Array.from({ length: maxGoals }, (_, i) => poissonPmf(i, homeXG));
const awayProbs = Array.from({ length: maxGoals }, (_, i) => poissonPmf(i, awayXG));

let probHome = 0, probDraw = 0, probAway = 0, probOver25 = 0, probBTTS = 0;

for (let h = 0; h < maxGoals; h++) {
for (let a = 0; a < maxGoals; a++) {
const p = homeProbs[h] * awayProbs[a];
if (h > a) probHome += p;
else if (h === a) probDraw += p;
else probAway += p;
if (h + a > 2) probOver25 += p;
if (h > 0 && a > 0) probBTTS += p;
}
}

return { homeXG, awayXG, probHome, probDraw, probAway, probOver25, probBTTS };
}

C. ELO Rating System​

# From: octopy/notebooks/elo.ipynb

def update_elo(home_elo, away_elo, home_goals, away_goals, k=20, home_advantage=100):
"""
Update ELO ratings after a match.

k = sensitivity (higher = more volatile)
home_advantage = ELO bonus for home team
"""
# Expected score
home_expected = 1 / (1 + 10 ** ((away_elo - home_elo - home_advantage) / 400))
away_expected = 1 - home_expected

# Actual score (1 = win, 0.5 = draw, 0 = loss)
if home_goals > away_goals:
home_actual, away_actual = 1, 0
elif home_goals < away_goals:
home_actual, away_actual = 0, 1
else:
home_actual, away_actual = 0.5, 0.5

# Goal difference multiplier
goal_diff = abs(home_goals - away_goals)
multiplier = 1 + (goal_diff - 1) * 0.5 if goal_diff > 1 else 1

# Update ratings
new_home_elo = home_elo + k * multiplier * (home_actual - home_expected)
new_away_elo = away_elo + k * multiplier * (away_actual - away_expected)

return new_home_elo, new_away_elo

Port to TypeScript:

// services/value-detection/src/algorithms/elo.ts

export function updateElo(
homeElo: number,
awayElo: number,
homeGoals: number,
awayGoals: number,
k = 20,
homeAdvantage = 100
): { homeElo: number; awayElo: number } {
// Expected score
const homeExpected = 1 / (1 + Math.pow(10, (awayElo - homeElo - homeAdvantage) / 400));

// Actual score
let homeActual: number;
if (homeGoals > awayGoals) homeActual = 1;
else if (homeGoals < awayGoals) homeActual = 0;
else homeActual = 0.5;

// Goal difference multiplier
const goalDiff = Math.abs(homeGoals - awayGoals);
const multiplier = goalDiff > 1 ? 1 + (goalDiff - 1) * 0.5 : 1;

return {
homeElo: homeElo + k * multiplier * (homeActual - homeExpected),
awayElo: awayElo + k * multiplier * (1 - homeActual - (1 - homeExpected))
};
}

3️⃣ transfermarkt-datasets (PIPELINE PATTERN)​

What to learn:

  • How they use GitHub Actions for weekly automation
  • dbt for data transformation
  • DuckDB for efficient processing

Pattern to adopt:

# .github/workflows/sync-data.yml
name: Sync Data Sources

on:
schedule:
- cron: '0 6 * * *' # Daily at 6am
workflow_dispatch: # Manual trigger

jobs:
sync:
runs-on: ubuntu-latest
steps:
- uses: actions/checkout@v3

- name: Download Football-Data
run: npm run harness -- sync --source football-data

- name: Process and normalize
run: npm run harness -- process

- name: Generate features
run: npm run harness -- features --sport football

- name: Upload to storage
run: npm run harness -- upload

4️⃣ cricketdata (R PACKAGE)​

How to use:

# Run this R script as part of Data Harness

library(cricketdata)

# Fetch all T20 international data
t20_data <- fetch_cricsheet("t20")

# Fetch IPL data
ipl_data <- fetch_cricsheet("ipl")

# Get player statistics
players <- fetch_player_data()

# Save to CSV for our pipeline to ingest
write.csv(t20_data, "data/raw/cricketdata/t20_matches.csv")
write.csv(ipl_data, "data/raw/cricketdata/ipl_matches.csv")

Integration:

// Call R script from Node.js
import { exec } from 'child_process';

async function syncCricketDataR(): Promise<void> {
return new Promise((resolve, reject) => {
exec('Rscript scripts/fetch_cricket.R', (error, stdout) => {
if (error) reject(error);
else resolve();
});
});
}

5️⃣ Where Each Algorithm Gets Used​

AlgorithmServiceUse Case
Shin MethodValue DetectionRemove bookmaker margin to find true probabilities
Poisson ModelValue Detection, ChatPredict goal distributions, suggest over/under bets
ELO RatingsPrice Feed, Value DetectionTeam strength ratings, improve odds accuracy
Feature EngineeringML PipelineTrain predictive models
XGBoost/RFML PipelineMatch outcome prediction

πŸ“ Ported Algorithms Directory Structure​

services/
β”œβ”€β”€ value-detection/
β”‚ └── src/
β”‚ └── algorithms/ # Ported from GitHub repos
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ shin.ts # From octopy
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ poisson.ts # From octopy
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ elo.ts # From octopy
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ kelly.ts # Kelly criterion for stake sizing
β”‚ └── index.ts
β”‚
β”œβ”€β”€ ml-pipeline/
β”‚ └── src/
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ features/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ football.ts # From ProphitBet
β”‚ β”‚ └── cricket.ts # Custom
β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ models/
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ xgboost.py # From ProphitBet (keep Python)
β”‚ β”‚ β”œβ”€β”€ random-forest.py
β”‚ β”‚ └── neural-net.py
β”‚ └── training/
β”‚ └── train.py # Jupyter notebooks converted
β”‚
└── data-harness/
└── scripts/
└── fetch_cricket.R # From cricketdata package

πŸ”„ Integration Workflow​

1. CLONE REPOS (monthly)
└── Data Harness downloads to /data/raw/github/

2. EXTRACT ALGORITHMS (one-time, then maintain)
└── Port Python β†’ TypeScript for real-time services
└── Keep Python for batch ML training

3. USE IN SERVICES
└── Value Detection: shin.ts, poisson.ts, elo.ts
└── ML Pipeline: features/football.ts, models/*.py
└── Chat Assistant: Calls value detection API

4. TRAIN MODELS (weekly)
└── Run Python notebooks with latest data
└── Export trained models to services